2025 Draft Guide: New York Jets

Coaching History: Last Three Years

Head Coach: Aaron Glenn (DET ’22-24)
Offensive Coordinator: Tanner Engstrand (DET ’22-24)
2024 Record: 5-12

Team Summary

After a 5-12 season, the Jets cut their losses and have turned to Aaron Glenn as head coach moving forward. Glenn led the Lions’ solid, but snakebitten defense and brought Tanner Engstrand with him from Detroit. While Ben Johnson gets the credit for the Lions’ offensive juggernaut, Glenn and Engstrand were at least around to learn from it.

New York isn’t devoid of talent, despite their recent offensive (pun intended) output. Somehow, with Breece Hall they managed to finish no better than 29th in rushing attempts, and 22nd in rushing yardage over the past two seasons. They have had Garrett Wilson and couldn’t muster a top half passing yards finish. Aaron Glenn and Tanner Engstrand will look to change that.

To do so, they brought in Justin Fields. Not the best NFL quarterback, but someone who can put up fantasy points and support other stars. While still thin at WR, expect to see a heavy dose of the running game, especially in the redzone, and a passing game focused on Garrett Wilson. The expectation is that New York will lean into the RBBC model that worked so well for Detroit with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. That said, they don’t have players that are quite that talented.

2024 Ranks (2023 Rank)

• Points: 24th (29th)
• Yards: 24th (31st)
• Passing Attempts: 5th (11th)
• Passing Yards: 16th (30th)
• Passing TDs: 6th (32nd)
• Rushing Attempts: 32nd (29th)
• Rushing Yards: 31st (22nd)
• Rushing TDs: 30th (30th)

2024 Positional Market Share

Breece Hall was a bell-cow for the Jets, taking 57.6% of the carries. However, due to a slow style of play and an inclination to pass rather than run, it didn’t result in the production that fantasy owners would have liked. 2025 will likely be different, as the quantity of rushing plays should shoot significantly higher, but with Justin Fields behind center, a larger percentage of carries will get siphoned off to the mobile QB.

Even with Davante Adams joining the team, Garrett Wilson dominated targets, racking up a 26.1% target share. The other WRs and TEs didn’t command much attention, but the RBs combined to earn 19.5% of the team targets.

Depth Chart:

• QB: Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor
• RB: Breece Hall, Braelon Allen,
• WR: Garrett Wilson (X), Josh Reynolds (Z), Tyler Johnson (Slot), Allen Lazard, Xavier Gipson, Malachi Corley
• TE: Mason Taylor, Jeremy Ruckert

Player Breakdowns

At this point in his career, we know what Justin Fields is. An extremely athletic QB with questionable accuracy and decision-making skills. He is not a great NFL QB, but that’s ok. When he plays, he produces for fantasy football. In 6 full games at the beginning of 2024, Fields averaged 19.0 FPPG. He should be one of the priority-late-round targets in your drafts if you miss out on the elite tier of QBs, as he is one of the few ‘Konami Code’ QBs that has significant job security outside of the top group.

The Jets’ running game has been a problem for years. Breece Hall isn’t the problem. The talented multi-purpose back has been stuck in poor situations for his entire career, but fantasy managers don’t care about why. We just want to have an idea of what to expect moving forward. After RBs accumulated over 90% of the carries in 2024, expect that number to drop closer to 80% with Justin Fields at the helm. We can also expect a bit more work for Braelon Allen, which should drop Hall’s rush share down to the 45% range. However, while his share may be smaller, the overall rushing volume should be up, and the offensive efficiency should improve as well. Keep Hall in the high-RB2/low-RB1 area. If he slips past his ADP (RB14), he is worth snagging.

After Breece Hall, Allen was the only other significant option in the running game his rookie year. While the coaching staff suggests that they want to have a closer split between the two backs in 2025, there wasn’t any area that Allen significantly outperformed Hall (with the exception of Hall’s 6 fumbles, which in his previous two years he had 3 total). Allen may develop into a great RB, being compared against Breece Hall should be encouraging. However, he should be considered as a handcuff option in 2025.

Garrett Wilson is one of the better young WRs in the NFL. He has cracked 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first three seasons. While it would be nice to see some improved efficiency, as his best YPRR came in his rookie year (1.92). Once he has the ball in his hands, he has produced a strong MTF, scoring about 0.2 MTF/Rec in every season and ranking 8th for WRs (min 200 routes). Given the environment, consider Wilson a high-floor WR2 with upside for WR1 production if Justin Fields can help him be more efficient (a big if).

The TE out of LSU isn’t billed as highly as Colston Loveland or Tyler Warren, but he is one of the most well rounded TEs in this class. During his time at LSU, he recorded a Max Reception Share of 17.24%, but also recorded a Pass Block Rate of 15.91%, so he wasn’t even running routes full time. However, when he was running routes, he wasn’t particularly efficient with them, as he only generated a Max YPRR of 1.23 (Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren were at 2.67 and 2.91 respectively). He did land in a good situation for TE production, though – with only Garrett Wilson clearly established ahead of Taylor in the target pecking order. You shouldn’t expect big production in 2025, but you should monitor his usage early as he may be a sneaky streaming option. In dynasty, he doesn’t have a great prospect profile, but that isn’t always disqualifying for tight ends to develop in the NFL.

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