NFL Simulator
We run 20,000 Monte Carlo simulations of every game, then line the model up against the sportsbook to show where the two disagree. Games are ranked by the size of that gap — the bigger the disagreement, the more it's worth a second look.
Members only
The NFL model is free to use — you just need a FantasyNow+ account to see the board. Log in or create one and you'll land right back here.
Played in Super League FF? You already have an account — just reset your password to log in.
How to read it
Each game shows the market's price (what the sportsbook implies) next to the model's simulated result. On moneyline, the number to the right is how far the model moves off the market on the home side — an aqua ▲ means the model likes that side more than the book does; a red ▼ means it likes the other side. Spread and total bars show how often that side hit across all 20,000 sims. The Top Edge is the single biggest disagreement in the game.