- Research - Underdog Fantasy

Underdog Fantasy Monday Top Plays 10/20

In this weekly series, the crew will break down their top plays for the day and tell you why you should target them! Week 7 Monday Night Football has what could be a preview of the NFC Championship game this season, along with an interesting matchup between Houston and Seattle to complement. Let’s take a […]

In this weekly series, the crew will break down their top plays for the day and tell you why you should target them! Week 7 Monday Night Football has what could be a preview of the NFC Championship game this season, along with an interesting matchup between Houston and Seattle to complement. Let’s take a look at some Underdog plays to win ourselves some money.

Jahmyr Gibbs HIGHER than 60.5 Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs

Detroit Lions • RB • #0

2025 Season Stats
FPTS103.2
ATT87
REC23
YDS502
TD5

I might be flawed in this regard, but I will always believe in talent overcoming game situations or schemes. That may be the wrong approach, but I simply don’t want to be on the wrong end of great players doing great things. Gibbs can get this Underdog rushing play in his sleep, and has so far eclipsed the mark in 4 of 6 games this year. I expect the Lions to lean on Gibbs once again in this huge conference matchup against the Bucs.

Jared Goff HIGHER than 0.5 Interceptions

Jared Goff

Detroit Lions • QB • #16

2025 Season Stats
FPTS109.2
COMP132
YDS1390
TD14
INT2

Jared Goff has been quite good so far this season, having thrown only 2 interceptions in 6 games. However, both interceptions have come against the defenses that have arguably pushed the Lions the most so far this year. If this game becomes a back and forth affair, Goff is still prone to making mistakes when under pressure. I don’t have great confidence that Goff will stay mistake-free in a highly competitive environment like this game projects to be.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba HIGHER Than 6.5 Receptions

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Seattle Seahawks • WR • #11

2025 Season Stats
FPTS128.7
TAR56
REC42
YDS696
TD3

Similar to my statement on Patrick Mahomes Rush Attempts Highers, if I see JSN in the 6-7 range for Receptions on Underdog, I’m going Higher, plain and simple. He is the only viable weapon in the passing game for Seattle, and he has gone higher than 6.5 receptions in 4 of 6 games already this year. JSN is basically just a less glamorous version of Puka Nacua this year, and I see no reason why Seattle will move away from peppering him with targets and touches in this game.

C. J. Stroud HIGHER than 32.5 Pass Attempts

C. J. Stroud

Houston Texans • QB • #7

2025 Season Stats
FPTS84.3
COMP102
YDS1076
TD8
INT3

The Texans offensive line is simply abysmal, and they have a tall task ahead of them against a borderline elite Seattle defensive front. However, Seattle’s secondary is quite banged up, which could lead to a gameplan from Houston focused on throwing the ball and trying to take advantage of Seattle’s temporary weakness. Plus, if Seattle gets up early in this game, there’s a great chance that Stroud is forced to try and throw the Texans back into the game.

Dalton Schultz LOWER than 7.85 Fantasy Points

Dalton Schultz

Houston Texans • TE • #86

2025 Season Stats
FPTS39.6
TAR27
REC21
YDS186
TD1

As I mentioned earlier, I like to focus on talented players that can get the stats we’re looking for purely on talent, regardless of scheme or gameplan. With all do respect, Schultz… is not a game breaker as a receiver. The Texans are also coming off the bye week, and the hope is that they start to utilize their rookie weapons more in Jayden Higgins, Jaylin Noel, and Woody Marks. If that occurs, it most likely leaves Dalton Schultz as the odd man out, which basically makes this play a fade of a touchdown reception with how Underdog fantasy scoring works.

**All projections are pulled from FantasyPros Weekly Research Tools.

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