- Research - Underdog Fantasy

Underdog Fantasy Monday Top Plays 10/13

In this weekly series, the crew will break down their top plays for the day and tell you why you should target them! Monday Night Football in Week 6 is another lovely double-header, with 2 fun games oozing with high-scoring potential. Let’s take a look at some Underdog plays to win ourselves some money. Bijan […]

In this weekly series, the crew will break down their top plays for the day and tell you why you should target them! Monday Night Football in Week 6 is another lovely double-header, with 2 fun games oozing with high-scoring potential. Let’s take a look at some Underdog plays to win ourselves some money.

Bijan Robinson HIGHER than 110.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons • RB • #7

2025 Season Stats
FPTS88.4
ATT64
REC18
YDS584
TD2

The Buffalo Bills have truly one of the worst rushing defenses in football so far this season, and they now face off against the best running back in football in Bijan Robinson. Atlanta has done basically everything they can do to feed Bijan the ball copiously, and I highly doubt that changes this week off the bye. This also covers if Bijan happens to have more receiving yards than rushing yards, as he’s done a couple of times this season already.

Josh Allen HIGHER than 0.5 Rushing + Receiving TDs

Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills • QB • #17

2025 Season Stats
FPTS119.9
ATT152
COMP107
YDS1429
TD12

Let’s have some fun on Underdog tonight, friends. Josh has scaled back a bit so far this season on the rushing work and the goal-line work, so let’s take our shot on him putting on the Superman cape and putting this team on his back. The Falcons have the offense to push the Bills, and if James Cook is relatively average or inefficient, we could easily see Allen do it himself in the red zone.

Jacorey “BILL” Croskey-Merritt HIGHER Than 67.5 Rushing Yards

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Washington Commanders • RB • #22

2025 Season Stats
FPTS60.7
ATT43
REC5
YDS337
TD4

Bill is inevitable. He finally proved it last week, and he now gets to face a poor Bears rushing defense, with Chris Rodriguez likely to miss this game. The Commanders are also down at least two starting receivers, with Deebo Samuel highly questionable heading in. They are going to feed Bill early and often, and I don’t personally believe that the Bears are going to be able to stop the duel threat of Jayden Daniels and Croskey-Merritt.

Zach Ertz HIGHER than 3.5 Receptions

Zach Ertz

Washington Commanders • TE • #86

2025 Season Stats
FPTS42.9
TGT21
REC14
YDS149
TD2

As I mentioned above, multiple starters are out for the Commanders at the receiver position on Monday night. Zach Ertz feels like a pretty logical choice to see a bump in targets in this game, and he’s already shown a strong rapport with Daniels this season and last. Even if Bill runs all over Chicago like we’re hoping for, the passing has to go somewhere, and I think Ertz is more likely to see that work than any of Luke McCaffrey or Jaylin Lane. Even though I love the Bears’ offense, I like the Commanders’ plays more on Underdog, with Ertz and Bill headlining for me.

**All projections are pulled from FantasyPros Weekly Research Tools.

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